The Canadian Technician

Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, is a Senior Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. Based in Calgary, he is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is also the author of Stock Charts for Dummies (Wiley, 2018).

Latest Posts

The Canadian Technician

The Selling Stops - Weekend Wrap - 2018-12-29

by Greg Schnell

The selling finally stopped on the indexes. After the quadruple witching of last Friday, traders had to endure one more day of selling on Monday, December 24th. After that, though, the market recoiled and gained back a few days of losses. We still have not retraced the fed meeting drop yet, however. From a breadth standpoint, the Nasdaq High-Low data has bounced up from a record low, using a moving average to take out single day swings. The accumulated weakness shown in the top panel was severe. Even these extreme lows did not mark the final lows for the overall Read More 

The Canadian Technician

A Ravaged Market - Weekend Wrap - 2018-12-22

by Greg Schnell

There were few places to hide in this week's tsunami of lower prices. Commodities had a lot of ominous moves, Copper broke down and Oil suffered a massive 11% down week. Rare earth metals, such as Lithium, Steel and Aluminum, all moved lower. Individual sectors plummeted, with Utilities down the least. While it might out-perform in a downtrend, your account is still lighter in the end. There's been a lot of discussion about the Dow Jones Industrial Average breaking down this week to confirm the breakdown in the Transports, but it seems a little late for Read More 

The Canadian Technician

When Angst Reigns 2018-12-19

by Greg Schnell

In this article, I'll be covering some of the sentiment charts for the broad market. The Equity Put Call ratio ($CPCE) is experiencing in the top 40 spikes of the past 15 years. Take notice of the groupings - the majority are bunched around major market lows. While this doesn't look very severe, remember that quadruple witching happens tomorrow. This is an options-related event that happens every three months; typically, those dates are some of the highest-volume days of the year. Thus, extreme volume this week, with a lot of protective put buying, suggests we are near Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Commodities Struggle Again 2018-12-15

by Greg Schnell

With the markets plunging hard to close out the week, it was interesting to see some of the banks trade slightly better than the overall index drop on the day. The Fed meeting Wednesday and the quadruple witching day for options on Friday are some catalysts for a change in trend. Here is the sector performance for the week. Looking through the list, the semiconductors finished up on the week even after a tough Friday. The Communications sector is also a little bullish so that helps. The oil exploration industry was crushed as a part of the energy sector! Having Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Gold Follows Through On The Breakout 2018-12-08 CC

by Greg Schnell

In what was a rough period for equities in general, Gold managed to have a great week, following through on its breakout. Oil continued to hold in the 50s, while the $USD made a second lower high on the daily line chart. The story in bonds continues with the 1-5 year yields inverting. The 10-year has moved dramatically  lower. With the China-America tariff discussions raging, the equities had some wild swings, finally stalling above the 200-day moving average again. Breaking into the equities charts, the 40-week moving average was last week's close. This week, the Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Canada Tries To Rally - Bi-Weekly Market Review 2018-12-04

by Greg Schnell

With the volatility surging, the indexes have really been flopping around. The $TSX continues to struggle. The outside bar forming after Thursdays wild ride is not bullish. The intraday action was better on Thursday, but we will need these levels to hold. The 10-minute chart (a shorter time frame than I usually look at) shows the price moving from the top of the range to the bottom this week. Currently, it is trying to rally out of the hole.  With the wide swinging market, portfolios are being swayed up and Read More 

The Canadian Technician

The Futures Are Set Up To Rally 2018-12-01 CC

by Greg Schnell

With the futures setting up for another big surge, last week doesn't seem as important. But there were lots of important charts. First of all, let's review what happened. In the Commodities, US crude oil went up a little, the Canadian crude went down a little more. The gold miners were weaker than gold, and the marijuana stocks continue to roll over. Natural Gas had big swings each day but ended the week up sharply.  The US sectors were all positive and most of them were up huge. Notice the difference between XLE and the XOP ETF at the bottom. XLE has other types of energy in Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Commodities Rally With An Exception By Crude Related Products

by Greg Schnell

Commodities had a big rally on Wednesday, with the exception of crude oil, gasoline and heating oil. Once Jay Powell started talking and the US Dollar started dropping , most commodities roared. Natural gas has been swinging wildly of late with big back and forth directional moves so aggressive traders are liking that area. For trend traders, the industrial metals continued to pursue higher ground. I have been covering this in the videos in recent weeks. Titles like Metals and Mining Stocks Surge have been controversial as most people are expecting lower levels.  Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Crude Oil Loses Support 2018-11-24

by Greg Schnell

Crude oil dropped to close the week well below support Brexit deal signed with the UK & EU on the weekend US Dollar ended the week higher Gold - I'M PAYING ATTENTION - Important defining moment $SPX ends with a lower Friday close than the October low Crude oil plummeted on Friday. The drop was substantial. The media always sells it as a blessing. Well, actually it's not. The number of jobs tied to the oil business is huge. I think everyone will find this old article particularly interesting. Oil and the Dominoes February 2016. Every market top is different. As the article from Read More 

The Canadian Technician

Metals And Miners Surge 2018-11-21 CT

by Greg Schnell

Canada has a 300 point rally! Canadian banks fall into negative gains on the year Gold stocks keep getting better Energy gets crushed In the last two weeks, the Canadian market has been oscillating with big daily swings. Wednesday marked the first 300 point rally in a long time. While it did not close way up there, the rally closed Wednesday with a 218 point gain. The ROC indicator shows this as a big thrust off the lows. Notice the last surge of this size also jumped off the lows. The secondary lows also had surges near this size. While we are expecting a bounce after breaking below Read More 

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