Don't Ignore This Chart!

Energy Stands Out on Relative Rotation Graph For Indian Sectors

Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer

Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

The list of pre-defined groups in the RRG-menu has been expanded with the universe covering Indian sectors against the Nifty 500 index as the benchmark. Very recently also the universe of individual stocks making up the Sensex 30 index was added. With the Nifty 50 group already on the list, we now have three universes covering the Indian market.

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for these sectors.

The one that stands out for me is the Energy sector ($CNXENERGY). The sector is inside the leading quadrant and traveling at a strong RRG-Heading powered by a relatively long tail compared to the other sectors in this group.


Reason enough to have a closer look at the chart of this sector.

NIFTY Energy Index - $CNXENERGY

The most important part of the chart above, IMHO, is the relative line against the Nifty 500 index. This relationship shows a gradually rising trend since 2015 in a regular series of higher highs and higher lows.

The RRG-Lines, underneath the relative line, show the oscillation of the relative trend versus the Nifty 500. Predominantly above the 100-level (indicates uptrend) with a few short stints through lagging (both RRG-Lines < 100).

Since the start of this year, the Energy sector started to move higher again on a relative basis, causing the RRG-Lines to rise simultaneously and push the sector into the leading quadrant.

The relative line is on the verge of breaking above its previous high which, if it happens, will very likely add new fuel to the relative rally.

The strong development on the price chart is supporting the positive relative rotation.

$CNXENERGY is breaking to new highs. The ultimate high was 16.360 in August 2018 but a more reliable level of resistance, IMHO, was the cluster of highs near 16.000 around that time in August. Both levels are now broken upwardly, but we have to realize that the chart above is a weekly chart which means that we cannot call the break to new highs until we have a Friday close above that 16.360 level. 

Unless we get a seriously strong reversal tomorrow (Friday 3/23), the Energy sector in India seems poised for further outperformance.

 


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Julius de Kempenaer | RRG Research
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Julius de Kempenaer
About the author: is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in January of 2011 and was released on StockCharts.com in July of 2014. After graduating from the Dutch Royal Military Academy, Julius served in the Dutch Air Force in multiple officer ranks. He retired from the military as a captain in 1990 to enter the financial industry as a portfolio manager for Equity & Law (now part of AXA Investment Managers). Learn More