Don't Ignore This Chart

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About this blog: The blog contains daily articles with intriguing or unusual charts selected by one of our Senior Technical Analysts, along with a short explanation of what exactly caught their attention and why they believe the chart is worth noting.

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Don't Ignore This Chart

KLA-Tencor Traces out Two Continuation Patterns

by Arthur Hill

KLA-Tencor (KLAC), a semiconductor equipment and materials designer and manufacturer, is in a long-term uptrend with large and small bullish continuation patterns working. The chart shows 52-week highs in May and October so the long-term trend is clearly up. The green outline highlights a cup-with-handle forming from June to November. On the right side of this pattern, we can see a sharp advance from August to October and then a pullback in November (blue lines). This pullback looks like a falling flag, which is also a bullish continuation pattern. A break above the mid November high would Read More 

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BHP Pauses At Resistance

by Greg Schnell

BHP Billiton (BHP) is pausing at resistance after a 30% run from July to September. The stock has a definite primary up trend going. The SCTR in the top panel shows the trend is improving for relative strength.  The volume this week was very low with the market closed for 1.5 days but the rest of November has seen average volume. The MACD continues to be well above zero, but is currently sloping down slightly. The closing price for the week is very close to the highest closes in the third and fourth quarter. With a strong dividend of 3.89% shown in the full quote panel Read More 

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Timken Surges off Rising 200-day SMA

by Arthur Hill

Timken (TKR), a mid-cap industrial, looks like it is resuming its bigger uptrend with a surge off the 200-day SMA. The chart below shows the stock hitting 52-week highs in April and October. The October high formed after a channel breakout and 25% advance. Timken then corrected with a rather sharp decline and briefly broke the 200-day SMA last week. This break, however, did not last long as the stock surged back above 47 the last five days. Also notice that MACD turned up and moved above its signal line. The long-term trend is considered up because of the 52-week highs and the Read More 

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MGM Tries To Breakout Again

by Greg Schnell

The gambling stocks have performed well over the last few years. MGM has traded sideways while WYNN has continued to climb. The consolidation looks constructive as MGM tries to breakout again. The RSI in the top panel continues to bounce off the 40 level which is a bull-market trait. The MACD downtrend line appears to be breaking to the upside, so perhaps the stock will be able to make new highs soon. While WYNN continues higher, this pause over the last 6 months just might give a little better buy point for a breakout. Good trading Read More 

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TJX Companies Reverses with Big Spinning Top

by Arthur Hill

Retail stocks surged last week and discounter TJX Companies ($TJX) bounced off support with high volume. Technically, the big trend is still down because the 50-day EMA is below the 200-day EMA and TJX is below the 200-day EMA. These EMAs are not shown on the chart to keep it clean. Despite the overall downtrend, TJX looks promising from a bullish standpoint because it reversed at support on big volume. Notice how the stock formed a massive spinning top after last week's gap down. The spinning top shows indecision because the open and close are in the middle of a large high-low range Read More 

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Nike, Skechers Lead Rally In Footwear Stocks

by Tom Bowley

Skechers (SKX) rallied approximately 40% after its most recent quarterly earnings report and Nike (NKE) has gone from 2017 lows to nearly a 2017 high in the past five weeks, highlighting a significant rally in the Dow Jones U.S. Footwear Index ($DJUSFT).  The DJUSFT rallied 3.21% on Friday alone and is on the verge of a very significant breakout: The DJUSFT is heavily weighted toward NKE and you can see that in the chart above.  NKE's major price resistance level is 60 and a breakout with confirming volume would be extremely bullish for the entire industry group. Read More 

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Fox (FOXA) Pounces On Six Month Highs

by Greg Schnell

21st Century Fox (FOXA) has been creating the news the last few weeks with merger, acquisitions, and parts spinoffs all part of the discussion. It closed the week at six month highs and above an important 5-year support and resistance line.  With all of this smoke, there must be a little fire behind the scenes, but this resistance area is extremely important for the stock as it has been dead money for years. Last week it made new 52-week lows only to suddenly reverse to 6-month highs.  If there is real movement behind the scenes this could break the Read More 

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Western Digital Breaks Out of Continuation Pattern

by Arthur Hill

Western Digital (WDC) appears to be emerging from a consolidation pattern and this increases the chances of new highs in the coming weeks. The chart shows WDC hitting a new high in July and then falling with a rather sharp decline into early August. The stock immediately rebounded after this decline, but then traded sideways as a triangle formed. This triangle is basically a consolidation within an uptrend and a breakout means the bigger uptrend is continuing. Note that the 50-day EMA has been above the 200-day EMA for over a year now. WDC struggled to break the triangle trend line in late Read More 

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General Electric Short Circuits (GE)

by Greg Schnell

General Electric (GE) has been struggling recently and now the stock dipped to two years lows. For such a blue chip institutional stock, the price action faltering while the overall market is in a big bull trend is almost shocking. With the investor day, GE announced asset sales and a dividend cut. The investors short circuited and hammered the sell button. While all this is new, the real question is when will investors find the stock low enough that good value is showing up? The stock has been dead money for 20 years. For an institutional stock, this price action is horrific. It will Read More 

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Fortinet Bids to End Long Correction

by Arthur Hill

Stocks close to new highs are usually in uptrends and have a good chance of recording new highs in the near future. Fortinet looks poised for a new high as challenges a channel line after an upturn last week. First and foremost, Fortinet is in a long-term uptrend with the 50-day EMA above the 200-day EMA and a 52-week high this summer. The stock peaked in early July, but has been pretty much flat since June with the blue lines marking a correction. Corrections can sometimes overstay their welcome by extending longer than we expect. Nevertheless, I try to keep the bigger picture in mind and Read More 

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