Don't Ignore This Chart

Microsoft Bids for a Momentum Shift

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Microsoft is battling the rising 200-day moving average and making a bid to shift momentum back to the bulls.

The chart shows MSFT falling along with the market from October to December and then rebounding sharply in January. The stock is currently consolidating around the 200-day SMA with a pennant, which is a short-term bullish continuation pattern. This pattern represents a consolidation (rest) after an advance and a breakout at 108 would signal a continuation higher.

The indicator window shows 14-day RSI shifting from a bullish range to a bearish range in October. Notice how RSI ranged between 40 and 80 as the stock advanced from April to October. RSI broke below 40 in October and has since ranged from 30 to 60. Notice how RSI failed in the 50-60 zone from November to January. Look for a break above 60 to put momentum back in the bullish range.


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- Arthur Hill, CMT

Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com

Book: Define the Trend and Trade the Trend
Twitter: Follow @ArthurHill


Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is a Senior Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com. He has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities magazine. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed technician. In addition to his CMT designation, Arthur holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More
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