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Canada Tries To Rally 2018-09-23 Video

by Greg Schnell

This week the Canadian market tried to rally. This rally just got us back ot unchangedd for the year as you can see on the chart. The volume was the highest we have seen in a year due to the Quadruple witching for options. The rally in 2017 started with the big move on a quadruple witching day in September. Lets watch to see if the market can respond again.  The banks also had a nice  Read More

Commodities Create Reversal Signals 2018-09-21 Video

by Greg Schnell

Commodities kicked off a parade of signals this week. After months of beating up buyers, the charts kicked off some significant oversold reversal signals. Going through the charts, a theme of reversals emerged. Crude Oil moved above the 50 day moving average last week. This week it held up there, but the related ETF's started to join the party. Things get real bullish if the $BPENER  Read More

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WEEKLY RECAP SHOWS MATERIALS AND FINANCIALS LEADING MARKET HIGHER, WHILE TECHNOLOGY AND UTILITIES LAG BEHIND

by John Murphy

MATERIALS AND FINANCIALS LEAD, TECHS AND UTES LAG: The Dow and S&P 500 hit new records this past week, while the Nasdaq lost some ground. A rebound in chemicals and copper stocks made materials the weekly leader. Financials benefited from a jump in bond yields. That also explains why utilities were the weakest sector. Energy and industrials also had a strong week. A  Read More

9/21 MWL Recap: "What's Hot, What's Not" with Mary Ellen McConagle - Sentiment Update

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

DP Weekly Wrap: Two Indications of a Short-Term Top

by Carl Swenlin

The market (represented by SPY) has nearly reached the top of a rising wedge formation, and the VIX has reached the top Bollinger Band on our reverse scale display. There is no guarantee, but there is a pretty good chance that a short-term top is very near. There is also the technical expectation that price will eventually break down from the rising wedge, but not necessarily on the next  Read More

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UNITED STATES OIL FUND IS TESTING SUMMER HIGH -- WHILE ENERGY SPDR TESTS AUGUST HIGH

by John Murphy

UNITED STATES OIL FUND NEARS THREE-YEAR HIGH The price of crude oil has reached a critical chart juncture. Chart 1 shows the United States Oil Fund (USO) in the process of testing its early July peak. A close through that barrier would put the USO at the highest level in three years. If and when that happens, energy stocks should respond in a positive fashion.  Read More

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Weekly Market Review and Outlook (with Video) - Where's the Selling Pressure?

by Arthur Hill

Where's the Selling Pressure? (RSP). Dow Theory Bull Market Confirmation New Leadership Emerges (XLV, XLI, XLF). QQQ Gets its Flow Back. IJR Flags and IWM Tests Breakout. Finance Sector Joins the Fray. Notes from the Art's Charts ChartList. Where's the Selling Pressure? There are two parts to an uptrend. First and foremost, a progression of higher highs or rising peaks is  Read More

Caterpillar Crawls Out Of A Trench (CAT)

by Greg Schnell

Caterpillar moved above the 200 day moving average this week to get out of the trench it was building. This trench has been a gentle correction from a massive uptrend in 2017. The SCTR is returning to 75 which is a great signal of strength. Notice the SCTR behavior in 2017. The shaded area chart shows the $SPX relative strength moving to new 3-month highs.  Price is breaking above the  Read More

Can You Correctly Answer This Historical Tendencies Trivia Question? I Doubt It

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, September 20, 2018 Dow Jones, welcome to the party!  It's been eight months since the Dow Jones could say it closed in record all-time high territory, but that's what happened at yesterday's close.  The Dow Jones joined the S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000, all of which have regularly been producing record high closes.  While the NASDAQ  Read More

Canadian Health Care sector ($SPTHC) gunning for test of $ 155

by Julius de Kempenaer

The Relative Rotation Graph for Canadian sectors is showing a very distinct move for the Healthcare sector. It is inside the leading quadrant and powering further into it at a strong RRG-Heading at a very long tail. All ingredients for more strength ahead and worth a closer look on a regular chart. Two other sectors that are worth investigating are the Energy sector and the Financial Services  Read More

Natural Gas (UNG) Ready to Catch Fire

by Erin Swenlin

Today I received two bullish email alerts on Natural Gas (UNG). First, the Short-Term Trend Model had triggered a BUY signal. This means the 5-EMA just crossed above the 20-EMA. Second, there was a Short-Term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signal that registered today as well. I hadn't looked at UNG charts in some time and I can see why, they've been anything but interesting. However, the  Read More

9/20 MWL Recap: "Asset and Sector Rotation Using RRGs" with Julius de Kempenaer - Anatomy of a Trade

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

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DOW AND S&P 500 HIT NEW RECORDS -- THE DOW IS THE LAST ONE TO CLEAR ITS JANUARY HIGH

by John Murphy

THE DOW IS THE LAST TO CLEAR ITS JANUARY HIGH Another day of rising stock prices has pushed the Dow and the S&P 500 to new records. In the case of the SPX (Chart 1), today's new high is enough to push it back above its August high. It actually cleared its January high a month ago which was a much bigger event. The bigger story rests with the Dow. Chart 2 shows the DowRead More

Welcome to The Mindful Investor

by David Keller

It is with great pleasure that I welcome you to my new blog on StockCharts.com entitled The Mindful Investor.  I have been a StockCharts.com user for years but have become even more impressed as I've gotten to know the great people behind this website.  I'm honored to be a part of StockCharts.com and look forward to many good things in the coming years. The idea for this blog came  Read More

Canadian Healthcare and Financial Services winning over Energy

by Julius de Kempenaer

While browsing through some pre-populated RRGs on the site I stumbled upon the chart holding Canadian sectors. What immediately triggered me was the sharp move of the Healthcare sector into the leading quadrant at almost 45 degrees which means that the sector is moving higher on both axes which is a strong sign. In a closed universe like this, if something moves up something else must go down  Read More

Traders Are High On Cannabis Stocks, But Life Insurance Is the Safer Bet

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 19, 2018 The biggest news stories technically-speaking yesterday were the breakout in financials (XLF, +1.70%) and the rising 10 year treasury yield ($TNX), which closed at 3.08% and is just 3 basis points from testing a 7 year high.  But September 19, 2018 will likely be remembered more for the wild trading day for cannabis stocks.  One of  Read More

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Materials Sector Heats Up, Watching SOXX and Two Stocks

by Arthur Hill

Small-cap Materials Take the Lead. An Abandoned Hammer in SOXX. FireEye, the Big Base and Volume. Arista Hits Support and Oversold Zone. Small-cap Materials Take the Lead There are nine small-caps sectors and the SmallCap Materials ETF (PSCM) is taking the lead. First, it is the only one of the nine small-cap sectors to hit a new high on Wednesday. Second, it is up  Read More

DP Alert: Dow Takes the Lead with New PMO BUY Signal

by Erin Swenlin

Big news today was a new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signal on the Dow. I've noticed the bifurcation of the markets. Today saw a positive close for the Dow, OEX and SPX, but the NDX, $MID and $SML all closed lower. In the case of mid- and small-caps, they took back most of the gains they made yesterday.   The daily chart for the Dow shows the breakout from the consolidation  Read More

9/19 MWL Recap: Guest David Keller, "The Mindful Investor" - Are You Buying This?

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

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Dollar Index Is On A Knife Edge

by Martin Pring

Long-term dollar technical position Short-term picture bearish outcome Short-term picture bullish outcome Euro Yen Swiss franc Long-term dollar technical position I have been primary trend bullish on the dollar for several months. That opinion still stands because the Dollar Index is well above its 12-month MA and its long-term KST is positive. The  Read More

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FOUR-MONTH HIGH IN THE 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD LIFTS FINANCIAL SPDR TO SIX-MONTH HIGH AND THE DAY'S STRONGEST SECTOR -- BUT MAKES UTILITIES THE DAY'S WEAKEST SECTOR

by John Murphy

RISING BOND YIELDS HELP FINANCIALS, BUT HURT UTILITIES This morning's message suggested that this week's upside breakout in bond yields was helping financial stocks which were the day's strongest sector. The green bars on top of Chart 1 show the 10-Year Treasury yield surging to the highest level in four months and nearing a test of its May high. An upside breakout  Read More

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UPSIDE BREAKOUT IN BOND YIELDS IS BOOSTING FINANCIAL STOCKS -- CITIGROUP AND JP MORGAN NEAR UPSIDE BREAKOUTS

by John Murphy

FINANCIALS GET A BOOST FROM RISING BOND YIELDS Yesterday's message showed the 10-Year Treasury yield rising to the highest level in four months. That probably explains why financials are leading the market higher today. Chart 1 shows the Financial Sector SPDR (XLF) bouncing sharply off its moving average lines and in position to challenge its August high. Bank  Read More

Rising Treasury Yields Portend Much Higher S&P 500, But Short-Term....

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 18, 2018 It was a solid day on Wall Street.  One day after seeing weakness in key areas like technology, consumer discretionary and tranportation stocks and the increasing historical likelihood of further downside action, stocks rebounded.in a big way.  Leading the charge were our aggressive sectors - consumer discretionary (XLY, +1.27%)  Read More

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Will Rising Yields Boost the Finance Sector?

by Arthur Hill

2-yr Treasury Yield Hits 10-yr High. The Mother of All Double Bottoms. Financials SPDR Extends Stall. Leaders and Laggards in Finance. Stocks to Watch: WMT, TRN and GILD. Big Moves in Treasury Yields Treasury yields moved sharply higher the last few weeks with the 2-yr T-Yield ($UST2Y) and the 5-yr T-Yield ($UST5Y) hitting their highest levels since 2008. The 10-yr  Read More

deFANG'd?

by Bruce Fraser

In June we studied the First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN). This ETF is our proxy index for the FANG stocks. At that time FDN had accelerated into an overbought condition by throwing over its trend channel. Almost immediately weakness set in and FDN tumbled to the lower trendline. The rush of FDN into the June Buying Climax (BCLX) had the appearance of institutions crowding their  Read More

Disney Hits Potential Reversal Zone

by Arthur Hill

Disney hit a new high in early August and pulled back into September. The stock is part of a strong sector, consumer discretionary, and this pullback reached a potential reversal area. First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because the stock formed a higher low from October to April and a higher high from January to August. The August high was also a 52-week high and the 50-day EMA is  Read More

20-Year Bonds ETF (TLT) is "Officially" in a Bear Market

by Erin Swenlin

I've been trumpeting the bearish horn on TLT for some time, but today marked a series of unfortunate events for TLT. Just last week we saw a new IT Trend Model Neutral signal and today, we got the LT Trend Model SELL signal. Add to that the execution of a serious double-top and an IT PMO SELL signal lined up for Friday on the weekly chart and you have a recipe for a long deep decline. There's a  Read More

9/18 MWL Recap: "Step-By-Step Scanning and Alerts" with Erin - Inside the Lines

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

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TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD EXCEEDS 3% -- 20-YEAR T-BOND ISHARES BREAK SUPPORT

by John Murphy

TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD REACHES FOUR-MONTH HIGH Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) rising above its twin summer peaks near 3.00% and reaching the highest level in four months. That upside move breaks the TNX out of the three-month sideways pattern that it had been trading in; and may be setting the stage for a retest of its May peak. That would be a  Read More

Technology Is Teetering; How Much More Selling Is Healthy?

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, September 17, 2018 Selling in technology (XLK, -1.25%) and consumer discretionary (XLY, -1.24%) resulted in losses across our major indices on Monday.  The NASDAQ, understandably, felt the brunt of the selling as this tech-laden index dropped 1.43%.  The Russell 2000 ($RUT) suffered the most technical damage, shedding more than 1% to close beneath its  Read More

9/16 MWL Recap: Monday Set-Ups - Earnings Spotlight with John Hopkins - DecisionPoint Report

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Listen and watch a show devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and symbols that are hot. The show runs throughout the day on StockCharts TV or you can find the latest episode on the YouTube  Read More

Friday as a Market Microcosm

by David Keller

I was in New York last week and as I landed back in Cleveland I checked the market action leading into Friday's close. I realized that the chart of Friday's price action was a microcosm of what we're seeing in the markets and thus confirmed my lukewarm enthusiasm for the coming weeks. I first looked at a 5-minute chart of Friday's price action. Here we see a selloff around 10:00am and a  Read More

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STOCKS LOSE SOME UPSIDE MOMENTUM -- AMAZON AND MCDONALDS PULL CYCLICALS LOWER

by John Murphy

SHORT-TERM SIGNS OF WEAKNESS The uptrend in U.S. stocks remains very much intact. However, upside momentum is weakening a bit. Chart 1, for example, shows the S&P 500 trading sideways over the past couple of weeks which is not unusual. The daily MACD lines (which are overlaid over the price chart), however, have weakened a bit. The SPX, however, remains well  Read More

Commodities Continue To Struggle 2018-09-14 Video

by Greg Schnell

The commodity charts continue to drift lower. There are lots of nice trend lines formed, but there seems to be little energy for a break to the upside just yet. The currency charts are important this week as the $USD seems set up for a sell signal on the momentum indicator. That might create a spark in the commodities and the emerging markets. The Yen is still holding above the black horizontal  Read More

Now We Head Into The Most Bearish Half Of September

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Friday, September 14, 2018 The NASDAQ struggled on Friday, while the Dow Jones and S&P 500 managed to finish with slight, fractional gains.  The Russell 2000 was the clear outperformer, a bullish development as the U.S. Dollar Index ($USD) bounced off its recent price support level near 94.50: Losing short-term price and trendline support in the 94.40-94.50 level could  Read More

Procter & Gamble Attempts to Turn

by Arthur Hill

The Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) has been leading the market since early May and Procter & Gamble is the largest stock in the sector (12.58%).  On the price chart, PG is in the midst of a long-term trend change and the short-term trend is also turning up. First and foremost, the long-term trend is turning up as the 50-day EMA moves above the 200-day EMA. This crossover is still in the  Read More

Aerospace Starts A Launch Sequence

by Greg Schnell

With another SpaceX launch and more news this week about delivering multiple cargos on one delivery rocket, the Aerospace industry continues to accelerate. This week, the group of public aerospace companies all sported nice chart setups heading into the fourth quarter. I have circled the SCTR rankings. I did a review of UTX on a Don't Ignore This Chart article titled  Read More

United Technologies (UTX) Pushed The Penthouse Button

by Greg Schnell

United Technologies is a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. While this is a high profile group of stocks, the other stocks are commonly stealing the spotlight. This week, United Technologies (UTX) pushed the penthouse button to break above the trading range.  The chart features a few nice technical points.  When a stock has an SCTR oscillating between  Read More

Three Great Stocks And An Offer To Download My Strong Earnings ChartList

by Tom Bowley

Special Offer If you would like a copy of my Strong Earnings ChartList, simply follow these steps and I'll send it to you: 1.  You MUST be a paid Extra or Pro member of StockCharts.com as that's the only way you can download my ChartList.  If you're unsure of your account service level, click on the "Your Account" tab in the upper right hand corner when you're on the SC.com home  Read More

XLE Gains PMO BUY Signal - Still Too Many Negatives in Intermediate Term

by Erin Swenlin

If you look at our DecisionPoint Sector Scoreboard below you'll see that the Energy is the only sector carrying an Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral signal. All other sectors have BUY signals in both the intermediate term and long term. While Energy did log a new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signal today, the negatives on the daily and weekly charts outweigh the positives. I've  Read More