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Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Netflix (NFLX) Gets Crushed And Here Was Our Clue

by Tom Bowley

Special Note I'm on vacation this week so I'm writing brief articles and in a different format.  There will be no article tomorrow, Friday, July 19th. Netflix (NFLX) Hammered In After Hours Despite topping both revenue and EPS estimates, NFLX is trading lower by nearly 11% this morning as subscribership fell short of expectations.  I'm not shocked at all.  Listen, I subscribe to  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Forces Are Shifting in The Battle Between INTC and MSFT

by Julius de Kempenaer

When you open up Stockcharts.com and go to your dashboard you will find a section called "Market Movers" in the top-right corner of your screen. For me, it is set to show the top 10 most active stocks inside the Dow Jones Industrials index. It gives me a quick overview and a general idea about market behavior for the day. To  Read More

Muscular Investing

Adding a Single Rule to a Lazy Portfolio Isn't Good Enough

by Brian Livingston

Bolting just one step onto Lazy Portfolios lifts their gains. But that isn't all investors want. Let's build a superior strategy that's still simple. • The noted academics Fama & French have demonstrated that 'factors' exhibit predictive power. It's about time portfolios for individual investors accept these findings and update themselves to the 21st century. Figure 1.  Read More

DecisionPoint

DecisionPoint Mid-Week | Possible Short-Term Selling Exhaustion | Bearish Double-Top for USO

by Erin Swenlin

It's been a week of consolidation and pullback for the major indexes. Given the look of our very short-term indicators, I would expect to see a move to the upside by Friday, or certainly by next week. Energy has been struggling, though it remains the only sector with a Long-Term Trend Model BUY signal (the 50-EMA is below the 200-EMA). Every other sector is enjoying BUY signals in the  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Guest Martin Pring | Sector Rotation | SCTR Report | MWL (07.17.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on  StockCharts TV; you can also find the latest  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

CSX AND OTHER RAIL STOCKS PULL TRANSPORTS SHARPLY LOWER -- THAT'S MAKING INDUSTRIALS THE DAY'S WEAKEST SECTOR -- FALLING PRICE OF OIL WEAKENS ENERGY STOCKS -- GOLD MINING ETF RESUMES UPTREND WITH THE COMMODITY NOT FAR BEHIND -- SILVER IS HAVING AN EVEN STRONGER DAY -- SILVER MINING ETF NEARS UPSIDE BREAKOUT

by John Murphy

TRANSPORTS HAVING A VERY BAD DAY Just a day after reaching a new two-month high, transportation stocks are the day's weakest group. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the Dow Jones Transportation Average falling more than 3% today. And it's being led lower mainly by rail stocks  Read More

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Art's Charts

Four Stocks Poised to Continue their Uptrends

by Arthur Hill

The first step to finding great stocks is establishing the bigger trend for the market, the sector, the industry group and the stock. It is not as hard as it sounds. First, the S&P 500 is clearly in a long-term uptrend because it is above the rising 200-day SMA, the 20-day is above the 200-day and the index hit a new high on Monday. Small-caps are lagging, but the bull market is not over  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Scanning For High SCTRs And Dividend Yield

by Tom Bowley

Special Note I'm on vacation this week, so my articles are in a different format and generally shorter.  There will be no blog article on Friday.   I've created three portfolios over the past year.  My Model Portfolio began on November 19, 2018 and my Aggressive Portfolio and Income Portfolio both started on May 19, 2019.  They've all performed at a very high level  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Semis are Back in Gear and this Stock is Poised to Extend Higher

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 SPDR and Technology SPDR (XLK) hit new highs this month. Thus, the S&P 500 is signaling a bull market and the technology sector is leading. The Semiconductor SPDR (XSD), which is a broad-based semiconductor ETF, is also showing leadership as it challenges its April high. This tells semiconductor stocks have sector and industry group strength on their side.  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Around the World in 10 Stocks | Anatomy of a Trade | Momentum Sleepers (07.16.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Regularly Restocking The Rack

by Greg Schnell

Retail can be a hard game, as the vast majority of retail stocks are in significant downtrends. However, there are a few that continue to perform. I like the price action on Lululemon (LULU) as it continues to expand the component of men's wear and broaden out the clothing lineup in their stores.  The SCTR ranking for LULU has been pinned near the top for the last two years, with two  Read More

Members Only

Martin Pring's Market Roundup

Bond Yields May Not Be Headed Lower After All

by Martin Pring

Money Market Yields Continue to Look Vulnerable The 5-Year Yield is in a Secular Uptrend Longer-Dated Maturities Overstretched on the Downside Money Market Yields Continue to Look Vulnerable Everybody and their dog thinks that short-term rates will be cut by the Fed later this month. Count me in with the groupthink, unless some really strong economic indicators come out between now and then, or  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

We're Off To The Races If These 3 Break Out

by Tom Bowley

Special Note I'm on vacation this week so I'll post mostly abbreviated articles.  There will be no blog article on Friday. Current Outlook One confirmation signal that I always look for during a bull market is leadership from our 5 aggressive sectors - technology (XLK), consumer discretionary (XLY), communication services (XLC), industrials (XLI), and financials (XLF).  Currently, the  Read More

Muscular Investing

How to Make Your Portfolio Muscular

by Brian Livingston

Adding a single rule improves every so-called Lazy Portfolio. But just that one change doesn't improve them enough to make them right for investors. • The 21st century offers an index investing revolution. We now enjoy superb tracking, near-zero commissions, and tiny fund fees. We can take advantage of these advancements to construct portfolios that are truly muscular and profitable  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Monday Setups | Earnings Spotlight | DecisionPoint Sentiment Update | MWL (07.15.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

What's Hot, What's Not | Tops and Bottoms | MWL (07.12.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on  StockCharts TV; you can also find the latest  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

The Consumer Staples Sector is Leading and this Stock is About to Break Out

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 hit a new 52-week high last week and three sectors joined the index with new highs of their own: the Technology SPDR, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR and the Consumer Staples SPDR. Note that I am basing the new highs on price chart using unadjusted prices, which do not include dividends. StockCharts users can place an underscore before the symbol to see unadjusted prices (_XLK  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Transports Soar To Lift Wall Street To Yet Another Record

by Tom Bowley

Special Note I am on vacation this week so I'll post mostly abbreviated blog articles.  There will be no blog article on Friday morning. Market Recap for Friday, July 12, 2019 Industrials (XLI, +1.75%) powered our major indices to fresh new all-time highs.  Transports ($TRAN) were particularly strong as truckers ($DJUSTK, +4.51%), airlines ($DJUSAR, +1.79%), and railroads ($DJUSRR  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Cameco - Can this Dog Bark?

by Greg Schnell

Cameco (CCJ) has been in the doldrums for years. As the big dog in the Uranium Miners dog park, the chart keeps tempting us, but it has been a swing trade only. While that is the method for investing in commodity-related stocks, Cameco really hasn't barked out a big win in a while.  A few years ago, Cameco started to restrict supply to help improve the price of Uranium. The chart has  Read More

The Canadian Technician

The Pendulum Swings Back - US Market Review

by Greg Schnell

In an up-sloping week, the one-way trade continues. More groups continued to improve and momentum continued to move higher. Of the weaker industries, the majority still have improving momentum. Growth Industries Outpaced Defensives However, the good news was not global  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

STOCK INDEXES END WEEK AT RECORD HIGHS -- SECTOR RECORDS WERE SET BY CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY AND TECHNOLOGY -- INDUSTRIALS MAY BE GETTING CLOSE TO A RECORD AS WELL -- TRANSPORTATION STOCKS END ON A STRONG NOTE -- FINANCIALS HIT NEW HIGH FOR THE YEAR -- GOLDMAN SACHS TURNS UP -- A STEEPER YIELD CURVE MAY HELP BANKS

by John Murphy

U.S. STOCK INDEXES SET NEW RECORDSThe three major U.S. stock indexes ended the week in record territory. A number of sectors hit records as well, or are getting close to doing so. Consumer discretionary and technology SPDRs hit new records  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely; NIFTY Continues To Remain Vulnerable To Sell-Offs At Higher Level

by Milan Vaishnav

After meeting resistance around 11800-11840 for seven weeks, the markets loosened up a bit over the past week while ending with losses. NIFTY spent the previous couple of weeks in a defined range as it remained indecisive and did not make any convincing directional call. This week, the NIFTY witnessed some increased corrective pressure from higher levels and ended with a net loss of  Read More

ChartWatchers

Chartwise Women's "Pink Line"

by Erin Swenlin

Chartwise Women is a new show on StockCharts TV featuring myself and Mary Ellen McGonagle. Our mission is encompassed in three "E's": Engagement, Education and Empowerment. During each show, we talk conversationally about our "Wisdom of the Week", followed by "What's Cooking? From Data Farm to Table" and finishing up with one of our favorite segments, "YeahThat  Read More

ChartWatchers

SCTR Rankings Continue To Show New Stocks Breaking Out

by Greg Schnell

The SCTR ranking tool is one of my favorite tools on StockCharts. Exclusive to the website, it is a very powerful indicator that provides what is effectively a sports ranking system for stocks, keeping track of what is outperforming right now. On the Wednesday and Friday editions of Market Buzz, I covered how to use the SCTR to find nice setups.  This Anthem, Inc.  Read More

The Traders Journal

My Personal Story And Why I Ask For Your Help

by Gatis Roze

This is a true story about someone whom I'll refer to as an investing "refutenik".   But first, a bit of background. The long-term financial viability of Social Security is questionable, yet some politicians like to toss around the idea of delegating more accountability to John Q. Public for taking responsibility for his or her own retirement well-being, In expecting people to embrace  Read More

ChartWatchers

Two Stocks Setting Up To Report Blowout Earnings Next Week

by John Hopkins

On Thursday morning, Delta Airlines (DAL) blew past revenue and EPS estimates, despite a challenging environment for airline stocks ($DJUSAR) in 2019. While DAL's results may have surprised quite a few people, they didn't surprise me. The best way to follow where Wall Street is placing their bets is not by watching CNBC -  rather, it's by following relative strength on the charts  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP WEEKLY WRAP: New All-Time Highs, but Not for Small-Cap Stocks

by Carl Swenlin

While the broad market indexes are currently making all-time highs, the S&P 600 Small-Cap Index (IJR) is struggling and remains about -14% below its all-time highs. This lack of small-cap participation is a concern, because the large-caps can't carry the market forever. The OBV is currently in a reverse divergence -- the OBV is making a higher high, but price is not. This tells us that  Read More

ChartWatchers

Charting Robust AD Lines that Truly Reflect the Broader Market

by Arthur Hill

The NYSE and Nasdaq are fine as exchanges, but their AD Lines do not tell the entire story when it comes to breadth. The major stock indexes, such as the S&P 500 and S&P Small-cap 600, contain stocks from both exchanges. As such, robust breadth indicators should include stocks from both exchanges and represent the market as a whole, not just one of the two exchanges. Today we will dive  Read More

ChartWatchers

Gold is Doing Better Than The World's Major Currencies

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, July 12th at 11:39am ET. Gold is more than just a commodity. Gold is sometimes also viewed as an alternate currency. When global traders lose confidence in their currency, they often turn to gold as an  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

GOLD IS THE WORLD'S STRONGEST CURRENCY -- GOLD HAS HIT A SIX-YEAR HIGH QUOTED IN DOLLARS -- AND IS HITTING MULTI-YEAR HIGHS WHEN QUOTED IN MAJOR FOREIGN CURRENCIES AS WELL

by John Murphy

GOLD IS DOING BETTER THAN THE WORLD'S MAJOR CURRENCIES Gold is more than just a commodity. Gold is sometimes also viewed as an alternate currency. When global traders lose confidence in their currency, they often turn to gold as an alternative store of value  Read More

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Art's Charts

The State of the Stock Market - Large Getting Larger

by Arthur Hill

Large-caps Continue to Lead. New Highs Follow Moving Average Signals. Index Breadth Table Remains Bullish. Sector Breadth Table Remains Bullish. Tech-Related ETFs Continue to Lead. Biotech ETFs Stutter after Breakouts. Art's Charts ChartList Update. Large-caps Continue to Lead The week so far is mixed for stocks with small-caps edging lower and large-caps edging higher.  Read More

Dancing with the Trend

Volatility and Emotions

by Greg Morris

This is part of a client letter I wrote when running MurphyMorris Money Management about 20 years ago.  The message is the same today.  Market volatility has an emotional cost.  It causes investors to make irrational decisions that are usually based on either fear or greed.  Volatility also carries a steeper financial cost than most realize.  Consider the two  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

It Was A Record-Breaking Day On Wall Street

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, July 11, 2019 Dow Jones ($INDU, +0.85%) 27000 is in the record books as another milestone has been reached on Wall Street.  The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.23%) also set another record high close, but fell just short of closing above the psychological 3000 level.  The SPX finished at 2999.91.  The NASDAQ ($COMPQ, -0.08%) had a bit of a roller coaster  Read More

DecisionPoint

The Most Productive Stock in My Portfolio...and How I Found It

by Erin Swenlin

Sometimes, you get more than you bargained for. That said, you stand a much better chance of finding those successful (and many times parabolic) stocks when you start with a good analysis process. The DecisionPoint Analysis Process does just that. I find my prospective investments using various technical scans, but ultimately the final decision is based on a few important indicators: the Price  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Membership Has Its Benefits | Technical Scans | MWL (07.11.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Why The Bullish Argument REQUIRES Strengthening Of Transportation Stocks

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, July 10, 2019 The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.45%) surpassed 3000 on an intraday basis for the first time in history on Wednesday, although it failed to close there.  Permabears don't understand how this is even possible, with the ongoing trade war and all.  But let me remind everyone of one very important stock market rule. Don't fight the Fed (and central  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

A Strong Rotation on RRG and a Break to New Highs Make For a Killer Combination

by Julius de Kempenaer

At present, the Technology sector is rotating through the weakening quadrant on the Relative Rotation Graph. Following a strong move in the first months of this year, relative strength for XLK started to level off and has remained more or less flat since April. We'll have to wait and see if the sector can pull off a rotation back to leading without first hitting the left side of the RRG  Read More

Muscular Investing

The Unconventional Success Portfolio Irons Out the Kinks

by Brian Livingston

Unconventional Success is a portfolio with a pedigree. It was designed by David Swensen, chief investment officer of Yale University. • His investing record is the best in the Ivy League. Swensen's strategy for individuals, however, is not the same as his university's endowment fund. Instead, he prescribes a super-simple Lazy Portfolio, ironing out complexity by holding only six index funds  Read More

MarketWatchers LIVE

Tony Dwyer Macro Strategy Outlook | SCTR Report | Chart Breakouts! | MWL (07.10.19)

by Erin Swenlin

Welcome to the recap of today's MarketWatchers LIVE show, your antidote for the CNBC/FBN lunchtime talking heads. Here is a link to today's show. Our show is devoted to technical analysis of the stock market with live market updates and analysis of hot symbols. The show runs throughout the day on   Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

RENEWED HOPE FOR JULY RATE CUT PUSHES STOCK INDEXES TO RECORD HIGHS -- TECHNOLOGY LEADS NASDAQ HIGHER -- UTILITIES HIT NEW HIGH WITH STAPLES AND REITS RIGHT BEHIND -- HOMEBUILDERS LEAD CYCLICALS TO NEW RECORD -- WEAK DOLLAR BOOSTS EMERGING MARKETS

by John Murphy

POWELL TESTIMONY MAKES JULY RATE CUT MORE LIKELYLast Friday's strong jobs report raised concerns about a July rate cut later this month, which boosted interest rates and caused some profit-taking in stocks. Mr. Powell today put the July rate cut back on the table  Read More